in this paper semi-markov models are used to forecast the triple dimensions of next earthquake occurrences. each earthquake can be investigated in three dimensions including temporal, spatial and magnitude. semi-markov models can be used for earthquake forecasting in each arbitrary area and each area can be divided into several zones. in semi-markov models each zone can be considered as a state...

‎This paper has two aims. The first is forecasting inflation in Iran using Macroeconomic variables data in Iran (Inflation rate, liquidity, GDP, prices of imported goods and exchange rates) , and the second is comparing the performance of forecasting vector auto regression (VAR), Bayesian Vector-Autoregressive (BVAR), GARCH, time series and neural network models by which Iran's inflation is for...

Accurate prediction of the future electricity consumption is crucial for production electricity management. Since the storage of electrical energy is very difficult, reliable and accurate prediction of power consumption is important. Different approaches for this purpose were used. In this paper, Grey model (1,1) based on grey system theory has been used for forecasting results. Annual electric...

Demand forecasting is one of the important activities in a supply chain which provides all the supply chain planning processes with market information crucial for efficient supply chain management. Its performance is measured by forecasting error, which is defined using the difference between forecast and actual sales. In this paper, we classify the forecasting error types based on the cases th...

In this paper, we presented the performance of forecasting model and error correction will affect the accuracy of short-term load forecasting. Least squares support vector machines (LS-SVM) based on improved particle swarm optimization is selected as load forecasting model. Forecasting accuracy and generalization performance of LS-SVM depend on selection of its parameters greatly. Adaptive part...

During the recent decades, neural network models have been focused upon by researchers due to their more real performance and on this basis, different types of these models have been used in forecasting. Now, there is a question that which kind of these models has more explanatory power in forecasting the future processes of the stock. In line with this, the present paper made a comparison betw...